Oodweyne

The "Buddy-Buddy-With-Forced-Smiles-Relationship" Between Eritrea And Ethiopia has Already Fallen Apart.

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Oodweyne   

ERITREA SAYS PRIZE-WINNING ETHIOPIAN PEACE-PACT IS FALLING SHORT

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A treaty that earned Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed a Nobel Peace Prize in 2019 is failing to meet the expectations of neighboring Eritrea.

“Two years after the signing of the Peace Agreement, Ethiopian troops continue to be present in our sovereign territories,” Eritrea’s Ministry of Information said on its website on Saturday. “Trade and economic ties of both countries have not resumed to the desired extent or scale.”

A spokeswoman for Abiy didn’t immediately respond to a text message seeking comment.

The accord between Ethiopia and Eritrea ended a stalemate that followed after a 1998 to 2000 border war in which as many as 100,000 people died. Following the peace deal, the United Nations lifted decades-old sanctions on Eritrea. This week, the U.S. Treasury lifted sanctions on the country’s presidential adviser, Yemane Ghebreab.

“The Eritrea-Ethiopia peace process is treading along in a complex domestic, regional and international climate that is fraught with risks and threats,” Eritrea said.

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Source: Bloomberg

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Comment:

Now that Eritrea's strongman and Abiye are almost at daggers drawn at each other's throat, which is the reason Afawerki was in Egypt last week conferring with El-Sisi who in turn has no love lost for Abiye, then the question is where does that leave the hapless Mr. Cheeseman?

And that is precisely the case, given, that, we were led to believe that the three (3) of them were the alleged "three Amigos" (or some such conceit), who always could be relied on to see eye-to-eye about all manner of things, starting from the need for Horn-Of-Africa's economical integration as well the need to bring about the inter-state peace across the region.

Would we now be wrong to assume in here, that, as usual, that hapless Mr. Cheeseman was left holding the bag, and was left high and dry, or at least was left in the lurch? Since the other two fellows had in mind nothing but the scam of establishing a "short-lived-convenient-friendship" with each other (solely intended to milk money from the Arabs).

And therefore, their intention was to have a "short-shell-life-political-dalliance" with one another, whereby it was meant to exist only in a few short years. But there was never in any larger and over-all agreed "strategical rapprochement" between them.

Let alone any kind of "blood-sharing-brotherhood" that could be claimed to have been established between these two men and between their respective states. 

Well, now, you know, that, when you are a novice in the "strategical calculation", like Mr. Cheeseman, happens to be, and when you are easily persuadable, or even have the sheer propensity to be "retainable person" for others' interest, then this is the sort of "ugly reality" in which you will eventually be confronted with.

After all, if now, Afawerki and Abiye, come to blow with one another, who would then, Mr. Cheeseman, side with, politically, this time around? 

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Oodweyne   

^^^

Walee, sheekadu waxa weeye: "waar Ina Farmaajow, dar-daryow habowga ahi, maxaa ku dhex dhigey waraabayaashan?"😂 

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galbeedi   

Well, it seems you guys didn't get the message or the intention of this propaganda from Eritrea. This weeks there were credible reports accusing Eritrea of interfering Ethiopian internal affairs. Even Oromo annalists are accusing Eritrea.

Since it Eritrea's EPLF that helped their cousin Meles (TPLF) in 1991 at expense of everyone, the Oromo are saying that they will not allow Eritrea back up Abiy. There are already Eritrean intelligence in Addis, while Eritrean army is breathing on the neck of Wayaane TPLF in the north.

So, this so called disagreement between Abiy and Asias is wild geese chase . Waa marin habaabin.

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Oodweyne   

^^^^

Again, you have the fondness to shoot from the hip at the best of times. Or at worse of it, you have the "pitiful tendency" to speak with a facile slogans in which you find it seductive to believe in them, without knowing whether any truth can be gleaned from them.

And I say that for the following reasons.

1 - the usually crafty Mr. Afwerki was seen, and was advertised as such, going to talk to Al-Sisi of Egypt, where the moment the talks had ended both parties (i.e., the Egyptians and the Eritreans) had it made it known to all that they discussed the issue of "equitable use" of the Nile river. And that is the "code word" for Ethiopia not to go ahead with the filling of the dam without an agreement with the rest of the parties.

2 - Nile talk is over, since both Egypt and Sudan walked away from it. And on top of that, both parties are in "bed" with Uncle Sam (US), who is in favor of their stance on this issue.

3 - Mr. Afwerki, had already gotten what he wanted from his deal with Mr. Abiy Ahmed, which was to have his money from the Arabs (and, of course, the Arabs, duly delivered it). To have sanctions relieved from the UN, which he already has gotten it. And finally, he wanted to be "internationally rehabilitated", so that he will come out from the "deep diplomatic freeze" in which he was put in by the US. And he got that too, as well. 

4 - Mr. Abiy Ahmed's political chances in Ethiopia are not looking so rosy at the moment. After all, he had already lost the political confidence of his own Oromo's folks, since he is been losing "political altitude" for some time with them. And if you add the fact that he was already in an open warfare or "constitutional equivalent" of that kind with the Tigray's political elites and their region; and the fact that Amhara can't deliver to him a sweep of the electoral prospect since they don't have numbers come the election next year means that you can say that the "certain prospect" of Mr. Abiy Ahmed staying on power for a long time to come (like Mr. Zenawi did in his days) is getting dimmer and it's fastly receding by each passing month.

And Mr. Afwerki knows that too. This is the reason he is "hedging" his bets, carefully, at the moment. And this is why he is also so surreptitiously and in a gingerly manner moving away from too much of a "political alignment" with Mr. Abiy Ahmed.

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galbeedi   
8 hours ago, Oodweyne said:

- Mr. Afwerki, had already gotten what he wanted from his deal with Mr. Abiy Ahmed, which was to have his money from the Arabs (and, of course, the Arabs, duly delivered it). To have sanctions relieved from the UN, which he already has gotten it. And finally, he wanted to be "internationally rehabilitated", so that he will come out from the "deep diplomatic freeze" in which he was put in by the US. And he got that two, as well. 

I agree with these points and others. You explained well.

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On 7/12/2020 at 11:50 PM, Oodweyne said:

ERITREA SAYS PRIZE-WINNING ETHIOPIAN PEACE-PACT IS FALLING SHORT

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I was wondering who Afwerki & Abiy reminded me off...

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I think abiye couldn't deliver badme. Which is still under Ethiopia. Though afwerqi lost the the sanctions and  has the support of the golf Arabs. I think that's about it. 

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Oodweyne   

ETHIOPIAN PREMIER IN ERITREA TO DISCUSS REGIONAL ISSUES

Abiy Ahmed welcomed by Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki in capital Asmara

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Addis Ababa, Ethiopia’s prime minister arrived in Eritrea on an official visit on Saturday.

Abiy Ahmed was welcomed in the capital Asmara by Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki and other senior officials.

The two leaders will confer on bilateral and regional issues, according to a statement by the Ethiopian premier’s office.

Relations between the neighboring countries were restored in June 2018 after two decades of mistrust and tensions.

They fought a bloody war from 1998 to 2000 that claimed around 70,000 lives.

Abiy won the 2019 Nobel Peace Prize for leading efforts to normalize Ethiopia and Eritrea’s ties and for making regional peace a priority.

Source: Anadolu Agency

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