Federal Republic of Somalia: Election update

[Tillamook]

Security Council Press Statement on Elections in Somalia

The members of the Security Council noted the progress made in the preparations for the holding of national elections in late 2020 or early 2021 in Somalia, and welcomed the role of the Federal Government of Somalia, the Somali Federal Parliament and the National Independent Election Commission (NIEC) in this regard.

The members of the Security Council reaffirmed their respect for the sovereignty, territorial integrity, political independence and unity of Somalia.

The members of the Security Council reiterated its expectation that one–person-one-vote elections which are peaceful, transparent, timely, credible and inclusive, allowing as many citizens to vote as possible, must be held by late 2020 or early 2021, in accordance with the Provisional Federal Constitution of Somalia. The members of the Security Council noted that any delay to elections could pose risks and that holding of timely elections is important for Somalia’s political stability.

The members of the Security Council welcomed the enactment of the Electoral Law but noted that essential issues need resolving. In this regard, the members of the Security Council called on the Somali Federal Parliament, in collaboration with NIEC and in consultation with the Federal Government of Somalia, Federal Member States, and other stakeholders, to take urgent action to clarify these issues to enable implementation of the Electoral Law, such as: the definition of constituencies; allocation of seats to constituencies; how the 30 percent quota of seats for women, to which Somalia has committed, will be implemented; and management of seats for Benadir and Somaliland.

The members of the Security Council expressed regret that the NIEC is unable to operate freely in all Federal Member States. The members of the Security Council further encouraged the Somali authorities at all levels to create a conducive political and security climate for inclusive elections.

The Security Council emphasised the importance of full cooperation between the Federal Government of Somalia and the Federal Member States, and expressed its concern that, in the absence of such cooperation, progress will stall on key national priorities, including: the implementation of the National Security Architecture; the delivery of the Somali-led Transition Plan; delivery of further financial reforms; the review of the Constitution; and implementation of timely elections. In this regard, the Security Council called for broad-based consultations and consensus-building between the Federal Government of Somalia and all Federal Member States. The members of the Security Council called on actors at all levels to refrain from increasing tensions and taking actions likely to make dialogue more difficult, including those against the letter or spirit of the Provisional Federal Constitution of Somalia.

The members of the Security Council reiterated their strong support for the Special Representative of the Secretary General in Somalia, the United Nations Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNSOM), the United Nations Support Office in Somalia (UNSOS), and the African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM), commended their efforts to support the Somali authorities, the Somali Federal Parliament, and the NIEC in their preparations for elections due by late 2020 or early 2021, their efforts to support Somalia in ensuring security for the people of Somalia, and welcomed efforts to further deepen the relationship between the Federal Government of Somalia and the United Nations.

The members of the Security Council recognised that the coming weeks and months will be a crucial period for Somalia and noted they would continue to keep the situation under review and follow the implementation of elections closely. The members of the Security Council further underlined its support for peace, stability and development in Somalia.

28 February 2020

Spokesperson’s website: http://www.un.org/sg/en/spokesperson

[Old_Observer]

Without the agreement of all federal states the so called election law becomes illegal and unconstitutional based on the Provisional constitution. UNSC recognizes that.

You can not make rules on how you yourself get elected and call it a law.

Only the people through representatives (not parliament) or directly, or only the Federal states by full consensus or some formulae can enact election laws by which to elect President or parliament itself.

The repeated mention of Federal states in the resolution is key background.

[Oodweyne]

1 hour ago, Tillamook said:

In this regard, the Security Council called for broad-based consultations and consensus-building between the Federal Government of Somalia and all Federal Member States.

In other words, instruction from the UNSC is to start "forming" a version of "national leadership council", even if you call it a different name. But basically, the argument is that all the stake-holders, from regional States to federal government's level, and from those who are at both houses of parliament, must meet up under one roof and then bargain as well as haggle over on that basis in-terms of figuring out, or at least hashing out, a "political deal" for the way forward.

Now you hear it from the horses's mouth (as it were) in the form of the five (5) member-states of the UNSC. 

1 hour ago, Tillamook said:

In this regard, the members of the Security Council called on the Somali Federal Parliament, in collaboration with NIEC and in consultation with the Federal Government of Somalia, Federal Member States, and other stakeholders, to take urgent action to clarify these issues to enable implementation of the Electoral Law, such as: the definition of constituencies; allocation of seats to constituencies

In here they simply saying (in the most the politest and the most diplomatic manner as possible they can under the sun) that the "electoral law" which was just recently passed by both houses of parliament, and was even then signed by the president himself, is nothing but a political and legal fiction.

And it's fiction since it doesn't defined a "electoral constituencies" in which MPs was to be elected from. Hence how could you have election without knowing the clear demarcated "physical constituencies" in which each elected MP will have to represent?

This is kind of bold lie, a cheap fiction, and desperate attempt to lie to each other, which is what they practice as a version of politics in Somalia, doesn't cut it with other countries, like the five member states of the UNSC, who could easily see through this kind of "sophomoric nonsense". Furthermore to these powers in this august body, this sort of a conduct come across to them as a moronic attempt to hoodwink your gullible folks. Hence, that may work with folks in Somalia but not at the beady-eye fellows at the UNSC.

And that in turn had compelled this same UNSC to call it out and say:

".....Folks, this is serious you can't get away with this kind of tendentious nonsense and still say we are going for an election at the end of this year or early next year......" 

Lets hope the clique in Villa Somalia will have the sense to know that their "lying jig" is up. And the UNSC is on to them. Which means they better start having a moment of "Come to Jesus" sort of revelation along the line of accepting that the electoral law they just passed was a fiction, from top to bottom. And therefore now they would have drag themselves into the truth and into the light of the matter.

And that basically means that they would have to accept that the way forward would have to be "determined" by some kind of a "grand gathering" of the kind they used to have it back in 2016, which was when it became clear that "one-person-one-vote" was unlikely to take place back in 2017.

This is the eventual realization in which they would had to go to it. Hence, It just matter of how long of a time it will be before they are drag there by the "Orders of UNSC". Or whether they will choose to go there voluntarily without being effectively ordered by the UNSC. And in particular by the likes of Mr James Swan, who in turn will probably be carrying that kind of "orders" to them in so daylight of a way, if on the other hand the UNSC choose to do things that way.

And that will be the likely eventual case if that is the political clique in Villa Somalia continues to play this kind of game of "pretending" to be basically deaf and dumb from what they have been told repeatedly by these guys at the UNSC, who are the real folks who actually "govern Somalia" (in law, in power, and in diplomacy). Never mind, actually, about that silly fiction of Somalia being a "sovereign nation" and an independent State of its own standing and its own right.

[galbeedi]

I think , us usual, the UN had taken over the election process. 

The big question is how the one man one vote thing could take place. It might not be fair for those who are unable to vote , especially those in Al-shabaab controlled area. 

Somalis usually procrastinate and before you know,  it will be soon December 2020. I think at the end , we might go back to  the old system of elders picking up the parliament.

[Old_Observer]

If Farmaajo and Co. wanted to reconstitute the Somalia State more than getting relected and have hand over the tilly, they would have worked at the very least to ratify the provisional constitution.

They could have gathered representatives from all parts, keep them debate the provisional constitution or even different. 3 years was more than enough time to sort the fundamental parts.

Now at the 11th hour Farmaajo wants to clear out existing regional powers, since he knows the election law will not be of any use and his reelection will be done same way as his election.

[Oodweyne]

17 hours ago, galbeedi said:

I think at the end , we might go back to  the old system of elders picking up the parliament.

That is where they are heading. It just that such a colossus political and constitutional failure will have to have an "address and a parentage". Which means, the clique in Villa Somalia, who wants to return back to power, would not want to come before the public and say we have failed to organised one-person-one-vote in the last 3 years and many months or so in which we have been in power. And by the way, please re-select us for four (4) more years in power in Villa Somalia.

They know the moment they say that we have failed to do this kind election, then, their jig is truly up.

Hence, the reason they are not willing to level with the public at least for now. And in the mean-time, they want to also get all of their political stooges (as in ducks in a row) into the leadership of the Federal Member States (FMS). So that those political stooges who will be in effect selecting the would-be MPs with help of the clan's leaders, will in turn select folks who are "amenable" to re-appoint this same failed clique back into four (4) more years of power. 

This is their current political game at Villa Somali. And they know it that they won't be holding one-person-one-vote anytime soon in Somalia.  

[Oodweyne]

11 hours ago, Old_Observer said:

Now at the 11th hour Farmaajo wants to clear out existing regional powers, since he knows the election law will not be of any use and his reelection will be done same way as his election.

Old_Observer,

That in sense what this is all about. Which means clear out the likes of South-West region in-terms of who is the leader there, do that in Hir-Shabeele as well. Do it all over again for Gal-Mudug. Do it to Jubbaland (if you could do it with the blessing of the international community). Create a fictional representation of Somaliland right there in Mogadishu. Somehow ensure that the Banadir region is in your hand, if she is going to be taking part in any selection process.

And once you have set it up the underlying system in that way, then, say lets go back to the old "method of clan's leaders electing MPs".

This is as patently evidence as it's cynically self-serving.

And if the international community (IC) goes along with this kind of party political clique who already in the process of "fixing" the political game for themselves in this way, and doing that even before the match seems to have even started, then expect endless trouble as a result from that. And we will find out soon. Particularly the moment this clique in Villa Somalia accept that "one-man-one-vote" will not be held any time soon in Somalia. That really will be when this cobbled together daylight's political scam of theirs will come under a sever scrutiny. And we shall see how they fare it by then. 

[Tillamook]

Guddi Isku Dhaf Oo Loo Xilsaaray dhameystirka Sharciga doorashooyinka Qaranka

Guddoomiyeyaasha labada aqal ee Baarlamaanka dowladda  Federaalka Soomaaliya ayaa magacaabay guddiga diyaarinta xeerar dhameystiraya sharciga doorashooyinka Qaranka.

Guddiga la Magacaabey oo ka kooban 17 Xubnood ayaa laga soo kala xulay labada Aqal ee Baarlamaanka Soomaaliya,waxaana ay ka Shaqeyn doonaan Qodobadaan soo socda. 

1:Xeerka Degaameynta Kuraasta

2: Xeerka xaqiijinta Qoondada Haweenka

3: Xeerka Doorashada Xildhibaannada labada Aqal ee kasoo jeeda Gobolada Waqooyi (Soomaaliland)

4: Xeerka Xaquuqda matalaada gobolka Banaadir.

Guddigaan ayaa laga sugayaa inay wada shqeyn la yeeshaan Guddiga madaxa banaan ee doorashooyinka sidoo kale la tashi la sameeyeen cid kasta oo looga maari waayo tayeynta Xeerarkaan,sida Dowladda federaalka Soomaaliya, Dowlad goboleedyada,Daneeyayaasha Siyaasadda iyo Bulshada rayidka.

HORSEEDMEDIA

[Tillamook]

11 minutes ago, Tillamook said:

Guddi Isku Dhaf Oo Loo Xilsaaray dhameystirka Sharciga doorashooyinka Qaranka

Guddoomiyeyaasha labada aqal ee Baarlamaanka dowladda  Federaalka Soomaaliya ayaa magacaabay guddiga diyaarinta xeerar dhameystiraya sharciga doorashooyinka Qaranka.

Guddiga la Magacaabey oo ka kooban 17 Xubnood ayaa laga soo kala xulay labada Aqal ee Baarlamaanka Soomaaliya,waxaana ay ka Shaqeyn doonaan Qodobadaan soo socda. 

1:Xeerka Degaameynta Kuraasta

2: Xeerka xaqiijinta Qoondada Haweenka

3: Xeerka Doorashada Xildhibaannada labada Aqal ee kasoo jeeda Gobolada Waqooyi (Soomaaliland)

4: Xeerka Xaquuqda matalaada gobolka Banaadir.

Guddigaan ayaa laga sugayaa inay wada shqeyn la yeeshaan Guddiga madaxa banaan ee doorashooyinka sidoo kale la tashi la sameeyeen cid kasta oo looga maari waayo tayeynta Xeerarkaan,sida Dowladda federaalka Soomaaliya, Dowlad goboleedyada,Daneeyayaasha Siyaasadda iyo Bulshada rayidka.

HORSEEDMEDIA

It seems, the country is officially under another road map for elections. The security council has said “jump!” and our so-called representatives have obliged and said “How high?”. 
 

When will Somali politicians realize that only when they work out their differences themselves and negotiate will they not be dictated to by outside powers.

What a bunch of sad creatures.

[Tillamook]

Madasha Xisbiyada Qaran oo soo saartay Mowqifkeeda Doorashoyinka Qaran.

Madasha Xisbiyada Qaran ay ku midaysan-yihii ayaa warsaxafadeed ay soo saartay kana kooban 14 qodob waxaa loogaga hadlay mowqifka madasha ee qabashada doorashooyinka qaran.

Qoraalkan ayaa lagu sheegay in Dawlada Federaalka ah ee Soomaaliya ay ka gaabinayso habsami u socodka doorashada waxaana lagu cadeeyay talooyin ku aadan qabashada doorashada qaran ee la qorsheeyay in dhamaadka sanadkan ama horaanta sanadka soo socda ay ka dhacdo Soomaaliya.

Source: Horseed Media

 

[galbeedi]

It was already slow moving caravan.

Now with virus disrupting everything, expect the election to be held probably in the summer of 2021.

[Old_Observer]

The Puntland representative democracy is proving to be the superior system.

Have TV set for everyone and let them debate and vote that way.

One man one vote was impossible to implement anyway. What a relief from all the deception, false propaganda, face book postings about democracy, when there is neither republic nor democracy.

 

 

 

[Oodweyne]

 

 

 

 

2

2 hours ago, Old_Observer said:

One man one vote was impossible to implement anyway. What a relief from all the deception, false propaganda, face book postings about democracy, when there is neither republic nor democracy.

Agree totally. In fact, there is likely to be no clannish election process of the "4.5 old method" even by early next year. Since they could say this virus had screwed up our time-table or some such cheap argument. So, we are looking for another political horse-trading of the kind in which the old 4.5 clans selecting their MPs in the old way was. And then those MPs so duly selected in that way will select in turn the president. This is the old method in which Somalia has been doing its politics since the 2000 conference of Arta in Djibouti. And such unmitigated lack of leadership on the part of Somalia's political elites is likely to continue for a few more years to come, I am afraid.  

[Old_Observer]

It depends the strength of the federal states.

Puntland and Jubaland and SWS can say they can elect representattives, since with Puntland method you do not need too much fanfare.

Farmaajo is totally reliant on Abiy.

Farmaajo cannot do election while Abiy postponed. Farmaajo cannot postpone election if Abiy is doing one.

Its completely and totally dependent on Ethiopia.

 

 

 

 

[Holac]

Wrong priorities. Every Somali politician, intellectual, businessman and educated person should be focused on beating the deadly virus.