Apophis

He is back!!

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The most written about, most spoken about, most sleepless politicians in the Horn of Africa.

19th, 24th...so many dates given by so many outlets.

Reputation of UN and Ethiopia in tatters. Ethiopia became smart at the end and apologized although not publicly.

If Farmaajo wants any useful work done for Somalia, he should visit and have a picture taken with Madoobe.

That is what PM Abiy does with Tigray, Afar or Somali when there is some news unpleasant.

 

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7 hours ago, Tallaabo said:

Of course he is back. How can men who grew up in an air-conditioned offices in far away lands and were far removed from the sad realities of our homeland compete with a rough and tough military man? 

You can buy people, threaten them, blackmail them, intimidate them....all in secret or only known to them.

You cannot tell a nomad in the open to do what he would not do out of own wish. Somali is the apex of the Nomad.

Even Ethiopia and Eritrea bought into this face book intimidation and embarrassed themselves. No options other than eiminating the man phsically which is even far worst now than before.

 

Reconcile with the facts on the ground is only option left for Farmaajo.

I heard Ethiopia has already apologized by their channels for the news, optics...

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galbeedi   
6 minutes ago, Old_Observer said:

f Farmaajo wants any useful work done for Somalia, he should visit and have a picture taken with Madoobe.

 

Look, we passed the stage where a man can organize a sham election and crown himself. This is not Tigray , Afar or any other place where dictatorship and top down rule exists. 

Mr. OO,

We went through a lot to accept illegal elections in 2019. In Somali territory, there might be corruption or money changing hands , but the competition must fair and everyone must accept the race to be fair. If the opposition can not take part of the election, it is unacceptable. It is simple as that.

Not only that this election should be reversed, but this kind of illegal takeover should never be allowed to stand. It is simple as that.

 

 

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3 hours ago, galbeedi said:

Ahmed Madoobe had  fallen  into the trap. 

He should never had allowed two parliament. He should have listened others and concentrated to have one single parliament and take his chances. He rushed to have his own wedding without the pride. THese moves could lead a civil war.

Seeraar was expected to do well if fair election is held, but since things are headed in confrontation and political maneuvering Mr. Xiddig is the well placed to challenge Madoobe. Besides, Xiddig has connection that stretch all the way to DC.

Madoobe can not kill the second parliament or arrest them. He still has time to reconcile and hold inclusive elections. If he keeps things the way they are , expect these moves from the opposition, the international community and from the federal government.

THe UN and its envoy will not recognize the election.

 Money and aid from the UN and other agencies will dry.

Travel restrictions will be placed on Madoobe and his close aides. He will not be able to travel anywhere but Nairobi. 

He will be quarantined in to one city, Kismaayo,  while the federal government and the new opposition leader takes the rest of JUbba. 

Madoobe will swim or sink with the Kenyans. 

When Amisom and the Kenyans leave 2020, Madoobe will go with them.

Now , the strategy against the Kenyans must start from the federal government including banning QAt and all flights from Nairobi. Now is the time to hit hard the Kikuyu where it hurts.

 

 

 

 

galbeedi,

That is what you would have done.

Do you realize Moodabe can travel to Dubai tomorrow if he wanted to?

You would have made a great adivisor to Farmaajo or anyone in the position, but its a must there must be someone who can agree or disagree with each of your points/steps.

A bit arm chair leader list.

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2 minutes ago, galbeedi said:

 

Look, we passed the stage where a man can organize a sham election and crown himself. This is not Tigray , Afar or any other place where dictatorship and top down rule exists. 

Mr. OO,

We went through a lot to accept illegal elections in 2019. In Somali territory, there might be corruption or money changing hands , but the competition must fair and everyone must accept the race to be fair. If the opposition can not take part of the election, it is unacceptable. It is simple as that.

Not only that this election should be reversed, but this kind of illegal takeover should never be allowed to stand. It is simple as that.

 

 

I sympathise with your wish for democracy and all that...but you should never tell a nomad in public what to do, regardless how much UN, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Farmaajo...is on your side.

A Nomad would rather die fighting than taking orders in the open against his wish.

Too much bragging about IC as if the money from Mogadishu to JL is significant. Very little money gets out of Mugadishu. Any Nomad can say go away with your money.

 

Ethiopia will never ever sanction Moodabe. What do you think?

 

 

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Dhoodaan   
2 hours ago, Old_Observer said:

galbeedi,

That is what you would have done.

Do you realize Moodabe can travel to Dubai tomorrow if he wanted to?

You would have made a great adivisor to Farmaajo or anyone in the position, but its a must there must be someone who can agree or disagree with each of your points/steps.

A bit arm chair leader list.

Do not west time with N&N paid stooges online. Here there  are  Ignoring what happened south west state, where innocent people were killed, the leading Candidate was arrested by paid Ethiopian gangs. the whole MPs were emigrated to Mugadisho and finally, A minister from N&N were selected. and here they are talking about Madoobe election being Sham.

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galbeedi   
55 minutes ago, Dahireeto said:

All I have to say ... WOOOW

Dahireeto , that is true.

Neither Madoobe nor Xiddig should be allowed to be the legal president of Jubbaland.

Madoobe could have maneuvered better without being paranoid. Who knows, he might even got elected while following the rules.

The sad part is we went back 20 years.

To avoid disaster and confrontation the UN must organize another inclusive ballot or all their efforts of building a rule based society will collapse.

 

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gooni   

Ragga sida wanaagsan u doonaya inay gobolka u samata bixiyaan xidig kuma jiro waa nin wajiyo badan.

Madoobe waxaan u shaqaynayn inuu ku xuurtooda ma'ahan nin wayn waa inuu wadkiisa yaqaan.

Kismaayo kenyaatigaan la joogayaa inigoo ka madax banaan federaalka dhexe wax shaqayn kara inaysan ahayn wuu garan karaa.

Madaxweyne jubaland iyo kismayo waa labo arimood oo kala duwan.

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On 8/22/2019 at 3:37 PM, Dhoodaan said:

Do not west time with N&N paid stooges online. Here there  are  Ignoring what happened south west state, where innocent people were killed, the leading Candidate was arrested by paid Ethiopian gangs. the whole MPs were emigrated to Mugadisho and finally, A minister from N&N were selected. and here they are talking about Madoobe election being Sham.

I thought the greater Somalia group were happy of what was done in SWS.

That was not only illegal from the FSG, but criminal. Endangering lives of locals using Ethiopia. Selecting a governor by using Ethiopian soldiers.

What Moodabe did or is accused of doing is less than election scandals that happen in America or British postal voting.

 

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