galbeedi

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Posts posted by galbeedi


  1. What a lie in our face. He says that he deals with the regional governments with the permission of he federal government. If I were the president, I would have said in a diplomatic and polite way that we do not appreciate the constant involvement of foreign governments i n our internal affairs without naming anyone.

     

    Only a fool would believe that Ethiopia want to help us defeat Al-shabaab.

     

    The positive thing that comes from this meeting is that for the first time Ethiopia is in defensive mood in both policies and Somali issues. Their weakness is apparent and the best way to reduce their influence is to minimize their involvement of the security issues.

     

    For start, they must stop the illegal support of "Ehlu Sunna" in Galmudug, and the Somali government must control their movements. Second, no regional state leader should visit Addis without the permission of the Somali government.

     

     

     

     


  2. Gooni,

     

    Jubbada aad sheegayso maleeshiyu beeleed ayaa xoog ku haysata. Kenya ayaa meesha ku haysa. Shalay ayyaan daawaday Xildhibaan loo diiday in uu hadlo oo uu boobka iyo ku tagrifalka awooda Ahmed Madoobe ku hayo dadka wax ka sheego.

     

    Haddaan u soo noqdo ciidankan wax la yaayey, waa gardaro garab og. Gudoomiyaha hanti dhawrka qaranka waxa illaalinayey "walaalaha galgaduud", sida hadalka uu u dhigayna waxa ka muuqata dulmi iyo fudayd. Waxa uu yidhi "Askarta ayaa isku soo dhawaatay, isqoonsatay, ka dibna isxabaeeyey, shil ayuu ahaa". just like that.

     

    The same thing happen to two 'xildhibaans" from Sanaag when intelligence force shot them in a main street. This crime shows two things. First, this town is becoming more dangerous and the fear of booms and assassination is real. Second, this shooting is the carried out by those who operate with impunity in Mogadishu.

     

    Madaxweynahuna waxa uu yidhi safarkaygii "Ethiopia waan soo gaabshay, si aan "Baroor diiqda wasiirka uga qaby galo'. He spent two days there, yet want to stay more. one more thing he should improve his "Soomaali language' vocabulary.

     

     

     

     


  3. Barwaaqo,

     

    Beytkaas si wacan ayaad u turjuntay. Especially " have been yearning to tie the knot in order to succeed;. Please keep trying to do more.

     

    If I had to translate from English to Somali , I would probably have written a good summery of the song, but when it comes to English it will be difficult for me to the do literature side.

     

    We will pass this one to Coofle and Oodweyne,


  4. Allah Ha u Naxariisto . MMA Samir iyo Iimaan adiga iyo reekiisa dhamantiin. I heard he was the youngest minister. A young man educated in a refugee camp, yet reaching new heights after hard work.

     

    A government that can not even protect it's own ministers is doomed. Some reports said that he was leaving Villa-Somalia , and those who killed him were ridding the vehicle of another government official.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     


  5. By the way, the Ethiopian ambassador that was supposedly given the end of the short stick happen to be an ethnic Somali. He is a distant cousin of the prime minister which means the Ethiopians are scared and want to keep their influence, so they sent a Somali guy.

     

     


  6.  

    First of all, this is a real and honest debate by the Somali parliament. I am really impressed about the young members who expressed their view in a well organized manner. Further more , both of those who oppose and those who agreed with motion explained their position with conviction and reason, yet their political inclination is visible.

     

    In any political motion, there are two opposing sides where each group is trying to impose their view or exaggerate the merits of their case while undermining the viability of the other case. In any case , after watching this civil debate, there could be a middle ground that could satisfy both groups.

     

    While this motion is a legitimate motion that should be debated and adopted eventually, it needs more time and amendments to reach a consensus that satisfies both the regional representation of the recruits , while avoiding of the sectarian character of regional army. One issue that we all agree is that conscripts must come from the whole country and from different walks of life.

     

    Here are some of my points regarding the national army.

     

    1- Despite it's large numbers, the current members of the Somali army could not defend the nation from Al-shabaab insurgents and could not defend the borders of the country, yet you can not disband them all. Those who showed , duty , loyalty and discipline should be kept. Many Somali soldiers had paid the ultimate price in Mogadishu and surrounding regions while on duty. Almost every minister or member of government is guarded by these soldiers, and more than often , they are the ones who take the first bullet from the terrorists. Those who are good soldiers must be kept . That does not mean incorporating the tribal militia of Mogadishu who masquerade as the national army.

     

    2- Recruiting the national army from the regions is a good step to accommodate national representations from every corner of the country, yet , it is recipe for disaster to keep them, train them and allow them to operate from their own regions as stated by the " National Security policy". They would be more loyal to their regions or tribes than the nation. So in order to fulfill the national representation requirements , and form a national army, the recruits must be mixed in and trained as brothers in arms in different regions. The army camps or barracks based in the regions must be managed by the national army. The command and control of these bases should be under the national defense. In most modern constitutions, the national army should not fight and engage it's local communities, except for national emergency or unforeseen calamities. Do not overextend these bases, the logistical night mare of supplying all would be a difficult task, just select four major bases for the moment. Balidoogle, Carmo (Puntland), Dhanaane (Jowhar) and Mogadishu could accommodate the 16,000 soldiers recruited from towns and villages across the regions.

     

    3-The federal states do not even have the capacity to deliver the basic services that should be their primary duties. Education, health care, policing, registry and regulation, tax collection and other public services should be their duties. Some of us were asking that how would these dead beat states who could not build a simple school are demanding the most difficult job of training a national army?. Well, it is simple. They just want to get some of the pie (money). For years, they have been watching the Mogadishu based gang pocket millions of dollars from the military budget with no tangible results. They have seen the Turks, Gulf Sheikhs, Americans, Italians, The British , The EU and others pour money in Mogadishu for the benefit of the local oligarchs, so they want to get some of that money in their regions. These Somali regions are broke. They do not have any viable internal revenue or transparent tax income, so the foreign pushed cash cow is the only means for them to make a buck. Just like the Ugandan, Djiboutians and others, they want to make some real money for themselves and their soldiers. I really would not want to deny the Somali regions to pocket some of the resources that others have been getting for the last few years under their name ( Soomaalidu in ay waxoogaa cashayso in loo diido ma ha haboona). If you look things in that logic, it could be beneficial for Somalis to have little bit of the pie among the Billions spend on others. Since money is always the root causes of problems, the regions and others might overlook the future implications. The best way to get some of the pie is to demand the training , salary and equipment of the regional police including "THe Daraawiish" who would intervene any armed conflicts.

     

    The best idea that comes from this policy is the forming of the National federal police. They should not be large numbers , but small well trained and equipped force that is en tuned on law enforcement and crime investigation. Small contingent of this force could be placed in major centers and towns. There are a lot of crimes of power abuse , misappropriation of funds and corruption going in those regions and there is no one to make them accountable. As we have seen in many regions, Somali tribes do not investigate or enforce the law against their kin. Few years ago, there were prisoners released from jails in Garoowe and in Burco after locals refused to keep them inside. In fact it is well known phenomena in towns like Garoowe where the natives always claim to be their town (Magaalada reer hebel baa leh, ma oga miyaa in ay caasimad u tahay Puntland oodhan). A well educated and organized federal police could create a real climate of law and order. " Dadka dawlada boorsooyinka ku sita sida Shariif Hassan oo kale ayey la xisaabtamayaan

     

    4- Former aviation minister Jammac Jangali had exposed the weakness of his former government and their inability to build 10,000 soldiers. He said that " we could not find money to pay them", yet, they all found money for their pet projects in Mogadishu. He concluded by saying the world are building army for us (ciidan ayaa la inoo dhisaya). Only in SOmalia you would see people saying , " the world will be feeding us, the world will be supervising, the world will be devising our constitution, and the world will be building us a national security force. These things follow the same pattern of the billions of foreign aid poured in Africa and other places with no visible and tangible results.

     

    A 10,000 Somali army will cost less than 20% of the budget. In 2016, They did claim a budget of $250 million. Everyone wonders what is more important than the army and police.

     

    10,000 x200 = 2,000,000

    2,000,000 x12 = 24,000,000

     

    If you add some logistics and other equipment it does not exceed the $50 million mark. Amisom is spending $1.2 billion in every three years. " Waxaan maqli jiray muraadka Muqdishu muraayad baa kaa xigta.

     

    5-Another fallacy is that the governor of the provinces were always responsible for the security of the province. That might be true technically , but the job of recruiting training and logistics was always the duty of the central government and the army. There were always coordination and cooperation, yet the army barracks were off limits for the civilian leaders. Armies operate under the federal jurisdiction and is governed by a different laws. As I stated earlier , many years of squander and abuse of power in Mogadishu has resulted a huge distrust of the capital by the federal states and they are finally aiming high and are going for the kill.

     

     

    6--The foreign trained and paid army does not serve the Somalis. if you travel to Gaalkacayo on the Galmudug side and Boosaaso , Puntland, you would see the foreign trained anti terror forces who do not answer either to Puntland or Galmudug. in 2009, C/raxman Foaroole went to America and asked the state department to deal with his government directly on the issues of security in Puntland rather than these unaccountable forces . When he tried to fire the commander after the "PIS" General Osman Dayaano, he refused to step down . The Puntland intelligence service are paid a monthly salary of $1500. These are the people who cleaned Al-shabaab from Puntland and the Galgala mountains. They are really effective , but they are owned and paid by a foreign government.

     

     

    -Somali tribes see regional armies and the backing of foreign powers a recipe for power and influence. So far ,we do not know the authors of the so called national security police document signed by Hassan Sheikh Mohamuud and others. The idea of creating a tribal army were always the projects of the European powers who had colonized the world, but it took center stage in the 21st century when the American forces who were occupying Iraq build a sectarian Sunni tribal army in order to sideline the deadly attacks of Al-Qaeda. Since Al-Qaeda was a multinational terrorist organization, who were murdering everyone, the Americans created a Sunni army and called them the " Sons of Iraq". That Sunni army eventually overcome the terrorists of Al-qeada and became influential force.

     

    After the Americans left Iraq in 2011, the Shia dominated government targeted them and abused them which eventually created the modern day ISIS. The Somali regional army might have a similar scope of using them to defeat Al-shabaab in the tribal homelands. If Every tribe cleanse it's own terrorists in their territory , why you need a national army, so goes the plan. In other words, the whole country will be militarized. There could be some blow backs from these armies controlled by governors. For starters, they will become more authoritarian ;they will be less inclined for national cohesiveness and would eventually curve their own country.

     

    These suggestions might seem to be dramatic for many of you, but sometimes there has to be a legitimate force and strong will to keep people together. If there is no legitimate , moral and legal force to keep nations together, believe me every ethnic, tribe or group would have it's own cake and eat it. Another un foreseen issue is these forces will be trained on the scope of just killing and defeating Somalis. They could be a force that fights only Somalis without the scope of national sovereignty , which is the defense of the nation from foreign enemies.

     

    Make no mistake, Somalia is not the only country in the world inhabited by quarreling tribes who went through a civil war. Look at Iraq, despite the daily killings and other issues, the national government is not abandoning it's moral duty to save guard it's sovereignty. In neighboring Ethiopia no one is allowed to have paramilitary forces or any thing similar of nation army except the Somali Regional State, why?. The Oromo , Ahmara,Affar and others have small civic police to do community policing. The Somali para military Liyu Police is created to crush the Somali rebellion in the region and keep both the Ethiopian and local dictators in an absolute power. who knows, the whole issue of regional armies could be the product of the neighbors.

     

    Even in Somaliland, the armed forces of that region never fired one bullet against outside forces who might pose a threat. The Liyu police and others enter in Somaliland without permission and rob and murder people at will, yet , the local army never confronts them , because they were trained to fight other Somalis. The Somali regional forces will take that idea even further. The same story is happening in central Somalia. The paramilitary Liyu police might cross to Galmudug and murder people at will, but the well armed Gamudug militia would prefer to fight their brothers in Puntland than the Ethiopian force. This is a fact that is well known among Somalis every where.

     

    I do not think the Somali regional states insisted on this, because they were always the ones who used to complain about the interference of the federal government while insisting about following the constitution. It is a foreign idea that came from those who finance the "Somali trust ship". The southern Somalis were familiar with these kind of " administrative over-cite" by the colonial powers. From 1950-1960, they were under the Italian trustship while having parliament, premier and other titles.

     

    If the new president want to wish to be another overseer of the provisional Somali government financed and controlled by others, he will be doomed just like the one before him. If he thinks others will be building armies for him , he is dreaming. Former prime minister C/rashiid Sharmaarke visited Washington in 1963 and met president John Kennedy. The Americans did help Somalia in so many ways, but were very reluctant to provide weapons for the nascent Somali army. By late 1963, Emperor Haile Salaase threaten to invade the country. While president Aadan Cadde was in Italy , Sharmaarke made secret deal with Moscow and saved Somalia to be invaded and occupied by the king. My friends , in order to survive , you must be willing to do the necessary sacrifices that lift nations from demise ( Dadkani ma waxay rabaan in dad kale ceelka u qodo biyahana u dhaamiyo?".

     

    Someone , in early nineties, said that in these parts of the world , leaders are always worse than their predecessors ( Aadan Cadde ka soo billow midba midka ka dambeeya wuu ka sii liitaa,, Soomaaliland Cigaal baa diyaariyey, haddana waxa ina hor fadhiya oday la baxnaaninayo o xanuunsan. Ma laga yaabaa in midka Ahmed Siilaanyo ka dambeeyaa in uu ka sii darnaado).

     

    We are all aware of the difficult position this president finds himself, and we hope when the time comes , he will be ready to confront these issues head. Making tough decisions means inconveniencing others and doing the un thinkable which is taking the burden of nation building by Somalis themselves.

     

     


  7. Suldaanka,

    This time you went to far. The so called parliamentarians in Mogadishu are much younger and probably will be more effective than those in Hargeisa who convene once a year. They might have been elected as members of certain party , but today, they do not belong to no one but the green buck party.

     

    How about the "Guurti" who were never even selected for 25 years, yet when they passed away, their son on uncle takes place. Years ago they used to reconcile when communities were in conflict, nowadays, they even abandoned that duty , so if I were you , I would not celebrate much , but would reflect more.

     

    As I said Somaliland is doing better thanks to the people and Mohamed I. Cigaal who established the government institutions which is disappearing as we speak.

     

    You keep talking about how "AWdal and Khaatumo" are opportunists by trying to carve their own territory. Unless you have been living under a cave that is the trend of the Somali politics. As Somali nationalism disappears, tribal nationalism will take it's place . If the so called " Maammulo" do not provide people with basic living standard of putting food on the table, liberty and rule of law, people will seek alternatives to that system. Believe me , these days , it does not even take much to achieve that goal and set up a tribal homeland, as long as you are willing to make a deal with the devil. Just look at Jubba Land .

     

    We have been watching Siilaanyo visiting Berbera which is less 200km and the flying back to Hargeisa and then greeted at the airport by 200 unemployed politicians seeking a favor, and everyone proclaiming " Madacweynihii ayaa soo guryo noqday".

     

    Mr. Suldaanka,

     

    Sidi sididaada mooyaane dhul u dhacaaga hubso. The Somaliland of today is a necessity, and we all believe that it could not accommodate different communities aspirations of economic prosperity or even basic rule of law. The people , who are honorable had decided to keep it together for now, but God knows how long that patience will last. So , do not celebrate but reflect.

     

     

     


  8. He should stick to his stand. I have zero knowledge of international diplomacy, but if you read few books or follow pronouncements from leaders after tense meeting between strategic rivals, you would learn few things. For twenty years, they keep telling us that they were helping us. Only a fool will accept that trap.

     

    Mr. president , if you want some examples of the Ethiopian plot, here are some history lessons between Shariif Ahmed and Meles.

     

    The most basic thing about diplomacy is that " they always say the opposite of what they want". Shariif Ahmed visiting Ethiopia immediately after he was selected in Djibouti. This was the man who was waging war against Ethiopia and the TNG government for three years, yet without any thoughts, he flew to Addis as oon as he got the blooded throne. They promised to help him defeat his former Friends of Al-shabaab and train his army. Without further discussions, he accepted the security recommendations of the Ethiopian government and proceeded.

     

    Allah Ha u Naxariistee, a former Somali army colonel by the name of Colonel Cumar Hashi Aadan, who was a members of the Shariif Ahmed camp and subsequently became the interior minister of Somalia begun to follow up and implement what Shariif Ahmed agreed. While he was a power member of the Islamic courts, he went to Hiiraan and spoke publicly about his campaign to expel Ethiopia from Somalia, Xoghayaha arrimaha gudaha Isbaheysiga dib u xorreynta Soomaaliya Col. Cumar Xaashi Aadan ayaa meel fagaare ah kula hadlay dadka gobolka Hiiraan waxa uuna yidhi, "“Yeysan baqdin idin galin kuwa Itoobiyaanka idiin soo horkacaya, waxaan idiin sheegayaan in Itoobiya ay mar dhow dalka xoog looga saari doono, qofkii maanta ku shahiida sidii Xabashida loola diriri lahaana ma ahan qof qasaaray, waxaana idiin soo jeedinayaa aad meel kasta ku qarxisaan Itoobiyaanka“ ayuu yiri Col. Cumar Xaashi.

     

    After spending one month in Ethiopia, he came back with a thousand men supposedly trained in Ethiopia and crossed back to Hiiraan procliaming that " the Jihaad now belongs to the Somali army". Here is the news of his arrival in Hiiraan with a thousand man army:

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    War goor dhoweyd naga soo gaaray Magaalada Baladweyne ee G/Hiiraan ayaa sheegaya in Wasiirka Amniga Qaranka Col. Cumar Xaashi Aadan oo ay la socdaan Ciidamo fara badan ay goor dhow uu soo gaaray Xarunta Gobolkaas, sidoo kale waxaa la sheegay uu la socdo Gudoomiyihii hore ee Gobolka Hiiraan Yuusuf Dabageed.

     

    Waxaa kaloo lagu soo warramayaa in Col. Cumar Xaashi ay wehliyaan ciidamo fara badan oo gaaraya ilaa 1000 askari, kuwaasoo tababar ku soo qaatay gudaha Ethiopia, waxaana uu kala yimid deegaano ka mid ah ismaamulka soomaalida Ethiopia oo uu ka soo kicitimay.

     

    That was June 2,2009. Within two weeks , Colonel Cumar Xaashi and his entourage was assassinated with one of the biggest truck bomb ever detonated in the history of Somalia. Al-shabaab might have claimed , but almost every person of knowledge , including former president C/qasim Salaad, said that the Beledweyne bomb was a foreign government bomb .

     

    After the dust settled , colonel Hashi and forty others were murdered. Among those were:

    1. xildhibaan Cumar Xaashi Aadan Wasiirkii Amniga Qaranka

    2. Ambassador C/kariin Faarax Laqanyo

    3. G/le sare Maxamed CAbdi Yarow (Shanle)

    4. G/le sare Maxamed Barre Fiidow

    5. G/le SAre Cumar Xasan Dhudi (Taliyaha Ciidanka ASlubta G/Hiiraan)

    6. Col. Yuusuf Xuseen (Timacadde)

    7. Nabadoon Faarax Cabdulle Fiidow

    8. Nabadoon Xasan Biriqow

    9. Nabadoon Xasan Cilmi Hurre (Dirir)

    10. Nabadoon Axmed Carrabey

    11. Nabnadoon Cilmi Shire

    12. Abwaan Maxamed CAbdi Cibaar

    13. Abwaan CAbdi-dhuux Guure CAli

    14. GAnacsade Buulle Xaashi Aadan (Wasiirka Walaalkiis)

    15. Eng. Cabdifitax Cali Xaydar

     

    Iyo 23 ruux oo isugu jira Saraakiil iyo illaaladii Wasiirka.

     

    Every Somali politician will tell you that Ethiopia wants a peaceful Somalia and it is willing to help you achieve that. Only a fool will think the diplomatic niceties are real.

     

    Poor Shariif Ahmed. Kenya also trained 1500 sodiers and used that same force to take over Kismaayo and Jubba.

     

    President Farmaajo should know that he has the support of the most important people in the region, which is the Somali people. Do not visit Ethiopia or those in the region, let them come to you. Let them put their cards openly.

     

    " Nin ku dilay Hadh kuuma Jiido". the most important job is build the capacity of the Somali army and to keep the support of the people. Look the big picture.

     


  9. The French right wing party of Marine Le Pen won only 21% of the polls in Sundays's first round election. Just like Greet Wilder of the Nederlands, who employed fear and hatred for immigrants and Muslims, Ms Le Pen got only a fifth of the electorate. That means 79% of the French have voted against her party and ideology.

     

    While 21% qualified her for the second Round , she will not be able to overcome the 50% threshold needed to win. The parties on the left and the right center Republicans, who are pro-trade and Pro EU, could easily sideline her. The independent candidate Emmanuel Macron is ahead of her for more than 30 points. In the French election of 2002, her father Jean M. Le Pen got 17% of the vote and qualified for the second round. In the second round, the Gaulist Candidate Jacques Chirac destroyed him by winning 82% of the vote. Expect her to repeat that same result.

     

    Every right wing nut job is in steroids after the election of the narcissistic president Trump. Yet ,after people have seen how Trump is showing his incompetence and leadership, people have second thoughts. People are coming to their senses and are using their head before casting their vote.

     

    Unless the evil ISIS helps her by committing another big terrorist act, Ms Le Pen will be one of those crazy right wingers who tried to use fear to win the election. In other words Trump and his cohorts are losing every where.

     


  10. Suldaanka,

     

    Arrintu xiniinyo iyo waxaas ma ahan, laakiin waxa la isku hayaa waxa weeye dhaankan meesha loo wado aanan garanayn miyaan iska daba galnaa mise waanu eegna meesha uu ku arooro.

     

    insiders say that president Farmaajo is just implementing a plan that was agreed upon by his predecessor Hassan Sheikh. Those who occupy Somalia are prolonging the formation of the Somali Army. Rather than reform and select those who are trained and willing to do their duties, this new formula totally disbands the current Somali army member.

     

    It is the new system or formula that colonial powers use to disintegrate the cohesiveness of the people by creating sectarian or tribal army. We have seen these issue in Iraq and Syria. In Iraq, the Kurdistan regional government has it's own army and territory to defend from ISIS and the other groups including the Shia dominated Iraqi army. Having won the right to have their own army and boarders their next move is to declare independence. In Syria , you have Kurd's, supported by the Americans, the Free Syrian army,, a coalition of other Islamist rebels and the Assad government. Each one of them has it's own soldiers, and The quagmire is getting worse by the day.

     

    Four years have passed since the London conference of 2013, and the nothing has changed. The British envoy traveled to Jubba land and other regions to convince them their plans of creating regional armies. They will be sitting at the table in the London conference and they will be getting their money directly to build their own armies.

     

    Nothing is changing in Somalia. They always find new ways to drail the hopes of the people. Here is the summury of what the media wrote about Somali army training in 2013 when everyone was hoping the formation of an army within the next four years. So far no one knows where all those trained soldiers have gone.

     

    here a sample of those who trained:

     

    Training has been provided to 3,600 members of the Somali army, including 29 women, in the Bihanga training camp in western Uganda from 2008 to 2013..

     

    The EU training program – known as EUTM Somalia – is part of a multifaceted European engagement that makes the EU Somalia’s biggest donor, providing more than €1.2 billion since 2008.

     

    Over the past two years, external players including the European Union, the US, Ethiopia and Turkey have separately trained thousands of Somali forces. Some in Somalia say it is a muddled effort, one which, like other aspects of the international engagement here, is based on sometimes competing interests and agendas.

     

    Add all that the new actors like U.A.E who built their own barracks to train an army of their own. Usually they do not move unless ordered by the Emirates .The Americans have a well trained Somali special forces that is based inside the airport. The "Gaashaan" contingent is paid and controlled by the Americans.

     

    Then you have 22,000 Ugandan army that resides mostly in Mogadishu. One wonders why a twenty thousand army could not even advance 30 miles outside Mogadishu and engage these hapless Al-shabaab who are traveling with small trucks. The truth is the people of Mogadishu are occupied by African mercenaries who are not willing to defeat a small rag tag army of poor terrorists.

     

    After seeing what is happening and what Farmaajo has campaigned, A Somali insider told me that , " he is either imlementing the old plan that was decided before him ,or he is willing to go along for now until he figures out a solution( Waxa uu is leeyahay Lugahan Dhiiqada galay, Marba mid u Saar in ta Aad ka Diyaargaroobayso)

     

    I feel sorry for the leaders because they seem to be hostages of entrenched system run by a well organized group who want to keep this country to remain in chaos.

     

    Finally, how can you train an army that does not even have it's own barracks.

     

    Madaama anaan ku jirin dadkan ciidamada loo samaynayo, iyo kuwa maamulaya toona, Dhaankan meesha uu socdana mar hadaanu garanayn, banaaka ayaan ka joogaynaa.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     


  11. It is huge task with overlapping responsibilities. Since the federal government does not even control Mogadishu let alone Cadaado, they definitely need the help of these regional governments to to built and command these forces. In other words, the regional governments are presiding and managing the army in their regions. Rather than provide good governance, accountability and providing basic services, they have been given the duties of the federal government.

     

    The national security counsel (NSC) which is the sole policy of the federal government have been joined by regional states. Here it says, "15. The National Security Council will include the FMS presidents. Similarly, the Prime Minister (PM) and FGS Ministers (Ministers for Internal Security, Foreign Affairs, Interior, Justice, Defense and Finance and the Governor of Banadir Region)

     

    If that is the case, you might not need the federal government. Why not let the federal member states build their army , police, institutions and then negotiate or choose every four years a president among them to be the president of federal member sates.. Rather than create every four years this weak government that does not even protect it self without Uganda and others, and yet , claim to be the Somali federal government , I would disband it and replace it with the Benadir regional government..

     

    Instead of having these large members of parliament , ministers, and heads of government in one city , with overblown budget of $250 million, I would create the " Banaadir Regional government" and it's duties should be pacifying that city only. A safe and functioning Banadir regiobal government will sit in the meeting as a member state.

     

    Malaha hawshan aan ku daalnay labaatanks sano waxa haboonayd in dadka Muqdisha jooga la yidhaahdo isa oo nabadeeya oo maamul soo samayta. Dawladnimada dusha la idinkkaga keenay, ee idinkuna aad Soomaalida ku baadhanaysaan ilayn " MUkulaal minankeeda Joogta Miciyo Libaax bay leedahay" arintu weeyaane. Hadhowna laga wada hadlo meesha la aadayo.

     

     

    In every federal jurisdiction in the world the central government and the regional federal states corporate for internal security and the delivering of the service, yet the Somali system is one of a kind or the most strange federal arrangement in the world. This country is not the only one in conflict supervised or aided by the international community or regional states, but in almost all cases the front line states leave quickly in short and reasonable time, or they do not intervene directly at all.

     

    The UK government ha called a so called Somali conference in London to raise money from the donors states. The last time this was done Somali regional leaders were there. If there is no credible Somali federal leader or president to represent Somalia, then change the format , but if you want the Somali state at the table , let the president or the prime minister sit in the table. NO country in the whole world acts this way. it is not done in Afghanistan, Iraq, Kosovo, Congo or any other place where there is a conflict.

     

    Finally, We the "Reer Woqoyi" will not accept this so called regional formula masquerading as the Somali government. It is a southern government.

     

    My first

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     


  12. Fear became the latest weapons to achieve political power in Europe and else where.

     

    I was trying to write this thread last week to warn western nations about Russian plans of instigating fear and terrorism in order to influence the French election. They already knew the Putin's plans , but I wanted to highlight some of the latest would be KGB plans.

     

    I was just few days late before the latest Champ Elysee, Paris attack that took the life of a police officer while wounding others.

     

    The latest news, confirmed by reliable news outlets , "The man believed to be responsible for Thursday’s terror attack in Paris was previously investigated for terrorism threats and jailed for shooting police officers, it has been confirmed". Not only that but, he does not seem to be a young man who was radicalized--he is 39 years old criminal-- or has an affiliation with the modern terrorist group called "ISIS Inc.", who claims everyone and any thing related to terror crimes regardless of the motivation. "Cheurfi was previously jailed for attempted murders that saw him shoot two police officers – one during a car chase in 2001 and a second days later when he shot an officer after seizing his gun in custody", Parisien reported.

    At a trial in 2003.

     

    The biggest common denominator in all these French attacks are they had been committed by people known to be criminals, drug dealers and youths with long history of crime and theft. Some, like the two brothers who were accused to be the masterminds of the Bataclan theater massacre, were owners of a night club and bar where criminal and ghettoized underworld meet to party and consume alcohol and other illicit drugs. I do believe that pious and religious people would not hurt innocent people who are going by to their daily lives. It is a huge intrigue for many Muslims that need to be sorted out.

     

    While gangs and religious fanatics could intersect to achieve their sinister goals, it is unconscionable in the Islamic tradition, especially in the "Wahabi" inspired sect, to commit deadly crimes of death and mayhem in the name of religious purity or Islamic caliphate , while consuming alcohol and other illicit activities prohibited by Islam. That is why it is very important for the intelligence community to investigate these crimes in different lenses than the usual ISIS thing. Certainly there are individuals who are sympathizers of ISIS who would commit terrorist crimes, but also other state actors like Russia might try to take advantage to infiltrate these countries and influence their political systems..

    This could be in a long line of unrelated crimes comminitted by criminals and others with completely different motivation, yet using the ISIS Inc. cover.

     

    Three people were killed in ‘‘random’’ and ‘‘unprovoked’’ shootings that unfolded in a matter of seconds Tuesday morning in Fresno, California, and were motivated by racial hatred, authorities said. When the suspect was taken into custody, he yelled ‘‘Allahu akbar,’’ according to Jerry Dyer, the Fresno police chief.

     

    Authorities identified the suspect as 39-year-old Kori Ali Muhammad and described him as a man with a lengthy criminal history who went out Tuesday intending to kill people. Police said he dived onto the ground when he saw an officer before being taken into custody.The shooting rampage Tuesday erupted after Muhammad saw news reports identifying him as the suspect in a killing last week, the police said.

     

    As these reports indicate, every criminal with Muslim name wants to identify with ISIS criminal mafia so he could look better in the news reports. The police chief said this was a man "filled with racial hate".

     

    If this Russians were able to influence and undermined the election of the American people, any thing is possible. An American FBI agent testifying in congress had highlighted how much money the Russians are spending in France and other European countries to influence and undermine both the EU and NATO. In this games, France would be the biggest price. If France falls under the yolk of the right wing leader Le Pen, and withdraws from EU, that would be the end of European Union.

     

    For the last few weeks Le Pen and her Front National were losing in polls , and their were a possibility that she might not make to the second round. Suddenly, in order to influence the election, ISIS Inc. hit Paris three days before the election . Even peaceful Sweden who never had any terrorism related events since 2010, were attacked by a man from former soviet republics who used a bus to maul down innocent by standers. Putin's sidekick, president Trump, had been publicizing and commenting about non existent Sweden bombs few weeks ago after seeing a fear inspired documentary at Fox news. Well, finally got his wish. Just like Putin, Trump is rooting for Le Pen and yesterday he said that , "Le Pen is the strongest French leader".

     

    Earlier this month when Trump Attacked Syrian air base for the chemical attacks, I thought that he finally saw the light and he is willing to change policy of allowing the Syrian dictator to keep killing his own people. Yet, after observing his actions, it seems he and Putin are the same page. As, the NBC commentator Lawrence O'Donnell put it at the time of the bombing, the whole thing might have been planed by Putin to take the heat off from Trump which worked perfectly well. They just used the old American book called " wag the dog".

     

     

    The barrel bombing of Syria by Assad and Putin had already produced the largest refugee movements since world war. There were refugees from Syria for the last five years, but when you barrel bomb Aleppo, a city of four million people, with long history of know how and culture, people will abandon their homes and find save places to survive. In return , the desperate refugees heading Europe and other places to survive , were called migrants by the Russian organized media in the west and their trolls in the social media.

     

    If the Russian dictator is not confronted , expect more chaos and political gridlock in Europe and else where


  13. Suldaanka,

     

    I was not hiding from the challenge we Somaliland unionists are facing. No doubt both this pictures show a thousand words of tribal hegemony both in the north and south, but let us discuss one at the time.

     

    In Mogadishu, the Somaliland unionists are the most ignored and abused group of politicians . Of course they appoint one important minister among the 30 , and that is about it. You could not find any northern person in Villa-Somalia, the security agencies, police or in the military. Two weeks ago, the president appointed four important military, police and intelligence chiefs. The so called group of "D block and HAG", have divided among themselves. Those same groups have both the president and the prime minister, yet they added more.

     

    On the other hand they claim that the Somali government is based on 4.5. If that is the case one of the security chiefs should have gone to the Northern groups, while the other should have been from Bay region. Their excuse is Somaliland is not here. Well, both Puntland, Galmudug and Jubba have their own parliament, military and government, so the idea that Somaliland want to separate should not deny the Somaliland unionists their rightful representation in the national government.

     

    As long as these two groups dominate the national government, there will not be hope or real closer in Somalia. Deep down , I do believe that all this so called generals that are appointed are either old and obsolete or are not qualified to reform and build a credible force. The last military commander that was replaced was a former Somali special forces member (Danab), and he was from Sool, yet without even considering the job he preformed , he was just fired and replaced with a family member from the president.

     

    The Gedo guys were famous in the eighties to promote generals without merit (way iska xidhan jireen xidigaha) and the HAG group under Shariif Ahmed broke all records. Young men who finished school in late nineties would go to Sudan, get some degree and start from colonel. General Muungaab was one of them. He started from colonel without going a military collage and became a military judge in 2010. Before he left office in 2012, Sariif Ahmed promoted him a general. He was one of 20 he appointed. Not only that, the USC made generals to people who were just law level officers before 1991. How can we expect these kind of people to lead the security apparatus.

     

    Unless we the northern people step up to the plate there will never be a functioning Somali state. Most southerners elites do not even care about those unionists who are the most suffering people. We left our homes and communities for the larger goal of uniting the Somali people under the banner of brotherhood and unity, yet we have been watching for 25 years, the shenanigans of the southern elite. In order to reach that goal , we must defeat these two groups politically. Dalka uga carari mayno magudbayaal ina hor fadhiya 25 sano.

     

    Having said that, what ever was left off the northern bureaucrats that left the south and established the governing system in Somaliland are no longer there.

     

    Seven years of "Habro" led by a Siilaanyo had destroyed what Cigal, Rayaale and others have built. The Somaliland elite, whether they are ministers or party operatives, had became not only the most corrupt people, but they could be bought with few shillings. Tribalism, opportunism and corruption became the norm. Add that to the so called Suldaans who surpassed the politicians both in the media , politicking and extortion. If real change does not come to Somaliland, it could become worst than the south.

     

    Having seen these Somaliland government members in action, I could no longer point the fingers to southern elites and politicians. The big deference is in Somaliland the people care about their future and their peace , despite the evil actions of the politicians. In Somaliland ,you will never see or hear a soldier robbing people or putting a road block to make money even if he were not paid. There is certain dignity that people hold up to.

     

    Finally, we will keep these groups in Somaliland and in the South to be accountable. The time will come when the Somali people will rise up and punish both the HAG and D block for their crimes of corruption and power abuse.

     


  14. An Acquaintance of mine who is a small trader just came from Mogadishu this week. Some of you, Somalia online residents have traveled back home for a different reasons for the last few years, but those of us , arm chair analysts who rarely travel to Somalia are always looking to find credible information through people from different walks of life.

     

    As usual, I begun my questions about President Farmaajo and the new government.

     

    Galbeedi: what is the main different between Hassan Sheikh and the new government?

     

    Eye witness: The biggest and the most important difference is the Somali people around the country want their government to succeed this time around. Also, the big events that is taking place around the world is having huge effects the way Somalis see the nation state. Many people inside and out Mogadishu have realized that having a functioning government means survival of the Somalis in this region and around the world.

     

    G: That is really a good assessment of the people in general both at home and the diaspora, but in terms of policy and substance , what does the government should do to improve the security of situation in Mogadishu at the moment?

     

    Eye W: Well, in our conversation you keep mentioning the first one hundred days or so, my friend that so called one hundred days are a barometer for the established western countries, but the government was just approved in late March which is not even a month, so if I were you, I would wait at least foe six months and judge them after the end of two years.

     

    G: forget about the one hundred days , what is the major steps that the government should do in order to improve security?.

     

    Eye W: First of all , I am from Mogadishu, and unlike many people from the diaspora, I had the advantage of frequenting both the major hotels were politicians and the elite congregation and the average people coffee shops. I did spend $2 for coffee in major hotels and 5c in street tea market. In order to improve security both the intelligence service and the army must be reformed and reorganized.

     

    The biggest threat to security in the Capital is the Mogadishu based Somali army. As soon as the sun goes down , most of the robberies in the city is committed by them. After the inauguration of the president, they were ordered to stay in their barracks and in those days most people felt the safe. Many of them are former gangs or criminals who chew "Qat" daily or abuse other substances. If they are ordered to leave the city and deployed to outside regions they just disappear or even refuse to take the order to be deployed outside Mogadishu.

     

    G: If that is the case for the so called military that had been trained for the last four years, what is the solution? also, Do you have any idea how much is their numbers?.

     

    Eye W: I do not know for sure, but the estimates I heard is about seven to eight thousand soldiers. Since 2004, soldiers were trained by different groups and countries, many were decent men who were willing to make a career in the army, but after many months without pay they just left , sold their guns or became a part time soldier. These soldiers must be reorganized, but at the same time , you can not have people to sacrifice their lives for the country and do not pay them any salaries for months.

     

    G: How about the idea of recruiting the regional government soldiers and incorporate the as national army?.

    Eye W: I do not believe the tribal militias from the regions or the Mogadishu based soldiers to be very effective national army. I would prefer that the soldiers must be recruited from the regions as individual citizens who should join the army by their own voluntary Like the old times( " Ha la yidhaahdo yaa doonayo in uu ciidan qaran noqdo, islamarkaana laga soo qoro gobolada iyo degmooyinka , la isku dhex daro ka dibna la wada tababaro").

     

    G: You have been going to Mogadishu since 2012 back and forth, what is the major difference this time ?

     

    Eye W: in 2012, a cannon was flying over my head when I try to travel from point A to B, now, you rarely see any artillery or cannons at night. The most dangerous issue in this time is targeted killings and assassinations. A businessman may lose his market share in competition, then he goes around and wants to eliminate his rivals by hiring a hit and run squad; the same thing goes to an NGO contract that went to someone else and other criminal connected killings. There are young kids who use drugs or other illegal substances, and they could be hired just for $50 dollar . Usually the criminals take them in a car and tell him to shoot that person ,then after killing the victim, jump in a parked car and disappear. The most dangerous part is someone is attaching a bomb with magnets in your car and " BUM" it goes off without anyone knowing where it came from.

     

    If the intelligence community is knowledgeable or prepared they could easily distinguish the difference between these assassinations. The murder of intellectuals, Islamic scholars and former officers are definitely committed by the Ethiopian intelligence and others.

     

    G: Since there are no military operations or no more standing army of Al-shabaab to confront in the capital, to me it seems the issues is about intelligence , information gathering and infiltration of these cells who carry this killings. So tell me about the capabilities of the intelligence service.

     

    Eye W: most of the intelligence members are former Al-shabaab members who were hired to help defeat their old friends. They do not smoke or chew "Qat" and they preform their duties well compared to the other who are corrupt and usually accused of extortion. Yet, the former Al-shabaab guys could not be fully trusted. They are either give a pass to their friends and family members or do not want to be proactive before crimes take place.

     

    G: Since 2011, over 140 members of the intelligence community were killed by Al-shabaab or others. Some were killed in a day light going to work, in front of their houses or at the vicinity of their headquarters. To me, it seems these people are not under cover agents preforming their intelligence duties in covert manner, so rather than intercept killers, they are becoming victims that need to be protected. Have you seen or heard any new ways of doing things?.

     

    Eye W: It is too early to notice any thing right now , but their are dozens of different group both foreign and domestic people rooming this city and if you try to sweep them in bulldozer , their heavy weight will crush on you, so these hazard problems need to be lifted one at the time.

     

    G: look, the new leadership took over from a government who for better or worse did something and pushed the state caravan to certain distances, so don't you agree that Farmaajo is not starting from zero?

     

    Eye W: Hassan Sheikh has implemented well the things that he felt would help him or re-election, the army he created are not reliable and he took away the rights of millions of people in Mogadishu. Can you imagine KM12 just in the outskirt of the city is controlled by Shariif Hassan, same goes with south of Jazeera beach. He sold the people of Mogadishu in order to win the election and gain votes from Puntland and South west. The land around the airport which was cleared by Mohamuud Nur Tarzan at the expense of others were given to business people by Hassan Sheikh.

     

    G: It seems our guest is throwing the former president under the bus by erasing every thing he has done. He did say earlier that there are no more cannons in the city like 2012, yet he seems , he is willing to be very patient to the new leadership , anyway , let us continue. Waxa uu leeyahay , " waa baa beryey Bilisan"

     

    G: tell me about life and people in the capital.

     

    Eye W: To my estimate and many others, the population of the city is between 4.5 to five million people. The notion that the Somali population around ten million is absolutely false. The number of Somalis in the Horn of Africa and around the world is about 30 million Somalis, and about 20 million are in the republic.

     

    G: Wait a minute, are you saying Mogadishu with it's crumbling infrastructure and other issue like water, electricity and housing is home to over four million people?

     

    Eye W: when was the last time you were in Mogadishu?

    G: I guess, about 1989.

     

    Eye W: well the Medino district alone is home to a million people. The density of the population and homes is huge in every district. Also, you have about 800,000 internally displaced people within the outlying area of the city who relies food rations from the U.N agencies.

     

    G: What can I say? although I have never asked anyone lately about the population estimates of the capital, 4.5 million is like stretching or exaggeration.

     

    Eye W: You probably talked to the diaspora members who live in what people call the green zone, major hotels and power centers , but everyone else who travels within the public would see what I am referring to.

     

    G: OK , fair enough. How about the cost of living?, and how these millions of citizens in Mogadishu earn their living?.

     

    Eye W: Other than those who work for the government or government related businesses , almost everyone is self employed. Some have small shops, others are shops by themselves by carrying products in their backs, and so forth. It is the old traditional ways of Somalis enterprising, dealing and wheeling to make a buck. In other words, everyone is a businessman including the murder for hire kids and the mules carrying the bombs.

     

    The cost of living varies in which part of the city you leave or your life style. If you are paid $10,000 a month working for NGO's or other foreign connected contractors, a thousand dollars a month could be the average to live in that neighborhood, but the poor hard working people are able to survive for one hundred dollars a month. A man who was guarding my home was paid hundred dollars a month while eating with the family. Through the telephone transactions he used to send 2 dollars a day to his family and it did cover the basic things. I did also travel to Hargeisa and Puntland, and I realized that the more you go deep south the less inflation you encounter. Hargeisa is the most expensive place right now and Kismaayo is the cheapest, and the towns between Kismaayo and Mogadishu , especially lower shabbelle has the least inflation.

     

    G: So, in order to feed and supply that huge population of the capital and surrounding area, the port of Mogadishu must be busy and hectic.

     

    Eye W: Of course. There are two or three major ships docking the port almost every week.

     

    G: That means the government should be earning large revenue. Do you have any estimate?

     

    Eye W: Last I hear was six million a month, but that was few years ago and it could hit ten million a month if managed correctly. I heard the Saudis will be contributing to the national budget monthly, so does the Turks. I do believe if they manage all this they could implement their programs.

     

     

    Any way while asking questions, I was also debating with him on some of the issues which were new news to me. The idea of Mogadishu having over four million people was something I considered a stretch. Is there anyone who could corroborator this information?.

     

    I did also believe that the issues of intelligence, detective work and information gathering could be resolved by a modern and trained work force that follows well established criteria of conducting clandestine work. These people are not interior ministry workers or police, but under cover agents. Their place of work must be in a non descriptive building some where in the capital; their identity must be protected, and just like the national army, they must be recruited from around the country. If Somalia was a police state, this c kind of work could have been easily taken care off, but since we are plural democracy and representative government, you need a highly trained and loyal people to conduct the national intelligence issue. You can not rely to former Al-shabaab members and local guys who have multiple conflict of interest.

     

    Finally, if this city is home to even three million people , then the work ahead is tough.

     

    Oh, before I sign out he also told me that the Bay region people are probably the largest community in Somalia . When I asked him , how so?, he said, " if you go every town in the country you will find them. They have shops in Borama; they are the largest community in mony Puntland cities of Gaalkacayo and Boosaaso.", he continued , " In Mogadishu and south , they have large communities. When I was flying to Berbers , i met four of them conversing with " May" and I did talk to one of them. To my surprise , he said he was heading to Buuhoodle town in Togdheer region".

     

    Markaan Idhi waar dadkass sideed u dhex gasheen ?, waxa uu yidhi dukaano ayaan ku leenahay, Gabdhana waan ka guursanay. Isn't that beautiful.


  15. Yoniz, when the Hargeisa boys tease me they say, " Galbeedi ubaxii kacaanka ayuu ahaan jiray". It is not true. But as you stated some what I have certain tendencies of authoritarian threat . It does not mean that I would condone oppression or tyrannic, but I dislike incompetence and corruption. " Reer koonfurku sodon sano u xidhnaan mayno.

     

    last year during the election, I was talking with a local proff. who is very familiar with political issues of the country. In fact, he visited Somalia during the summer. When I complained about the slow pace of state building including the formation of the regional states, he said, " the era of strong leadership is over, and the new Somali democracy and power sharing, negotiations and slow moving process will be the norm."

     

    I interjected and said that if we keep flowing these slow moving road maps and the constant supervision of the state by others, this may take 30 years to establish a viable Somali state. To my surprise, he was not bothered by the time frame or the constant quarreling of the leaders. Waxa uu yidhi , In sidaas wax la iskugu kakabo mooyaane si kale male, waa in marba gobol la soo dhisaa, nabadu tartiib u fidaa, dawlada dhexena marba tallabo yar qaadaa. Taageerda dhaqaaluhuna ay aduunka sidaas uga timaado inta ay cashuur ururin iyo nidaam la imaanayaan.

     

    I asked him, how much was the revenue of the sate last year?, and he said about $250 million. I said, " that is a lot of many for a government operating in one single city without providing health care , education or national security". Waxa uu yidhi Jaamacada aan joogo ayaa tobaon jeer ka lacag badan qaranka . Sheekadu waxa weeye, We will retire here before a real change comes.

     

    Two years ago a delegation from Amisom were looking inputs from the diaspora about their future plans in Somalia. They were proposing to lead Somalia to a democratic process until 2025. WE all rejected that idea. How can Ugandha , Ethiopia and Djibouti which are all undemocratic despots could lead democracy in Somalia.

     

    When you hear these plans and the dysfunction of the federal system, local people need to develop their economies.

     

    Finally , as you did mention, Carabta intii aynu dhibanayn labaatankii sano inooma iman, haddana waxa laga yaabaa dadkii taladu ka go'aysay ayaa soo diray oo yidhi, " waar kuwaan bal utaga oo waxoogaa dheemaala u tuura inta Ruush iyo kuwa kale meesha inaan.

     

    since the world is coming to us, why not coordinate your plans. Djibouti is earning $70 million a year for ten year of base lease from Americans. That is almost a billion for ten years. We could do better than this.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     


  16. I was thinking that DR. Bayle would be a future candidate for 2021, after preforming his duties as the financial gate keeper. No wonder they always grab the weak ones.

     

    It really pains me these huge couches that the leaders always sit on. Please go and watch the inauguration of Trump. everyone is sitting on simple chairs. I did speak about this big sofa's during Hassan Sheikh.

     

    I do not think this fat cats could even realize that people are starving and they keep throwing big fat Greek parties.


  17. You right brother.

     

    Dalku waa in meel laga soo galo uu leeyahay.

     

    My biggest victory will be a Somali state that protects it's citizens and respected around the region. Only then we shall feel pride in our towns and regions.

     

    Just observe about the current drought. The federal government gave $150,000 to every regional government. That is small peanuts. Since the regions are serving the people effected by the drought in Puntland, South West and Galmudug, they should be given almost all the funds. They are feeding and moving people to feeding zones, so why the federal government withholding the money? brothers that will be the legacy of this system. Regions lifting all the weight without any fund coming from the Mogadishu government.

     

    First establish the state and then debate the internal issues as brothers and sisters.

     

    Here we have three Somali governments each one of the negotiating for cash. Each one of them has certain agenda for his portion of the money.

     

    Kuwa HArgeisa mar hore ayey qeybsadeen lacagtii. Puntlandna waa ku xigtaa. Nin oday ah oo xog ogaal ah ayaa igu yidhi shalay, " Farmaajo waxa la sugayaa marka uu lacagta soo qaado, dagaalku markaas ayuu bilaabanayaa.

     

    Three presidents in Dubai to cash.