Illyria

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Everything posted by Illyria

  1. I do not think they realise how modern technology inverted the criminal profession where even common criminals are wary of being caught on camera; one would have thought the likes of Bixiye, ina Kahin, Taani etc. would be conscious enough as to the severity of their criminality in shelling innocent civilians, as it was broadcast on live feeds. But then again it is not like they have got conscious, or would acknowledge the atrocities they inflicted upon innocent civilians, let alone its criminality. Even XX continues to deny any atrocities being committed in Las Anod even after videos of gory images and group burials had been presented. I do not know if you have seen A Terra's documentary earlier (mind you, he is reer Hargeysa, lest XX accuses him of being Siyaad Barre Supporter). It is very harrowing to say the least.
  2. Was he this judicious, deliberative, receptive, cognisant, and reflective when he was at Villa Xamar? he is making sense.
  3. I think included should be sycophants and sympathisers of war crimes and criminals the likes of Oodweyne, XX, hordes frothing and chanting "Muuse ciidanka fasax", online trolls.
  4. AS retakes Bacaadweyne, Camaara, and Shabeelow. Balcad & Cadale feared to be next. If accurate, then it is as predicted. https://fb.watch/qLGJ9GAwd-/ --------------------------------------------- Hudson institute, a DoD outlet released its September report. Its conclusion: Consequently, the situation looks less promising than it did at the end of 2022, and al-Shabaab is unlikely to face a meaningful defeat in the coming months. Instead, the best-case scenario would see this military offensive degrade al-Shabaab over the coming months to the point that the terrorist organization partially fractures and loses some of its popular support, possibly opening up room for the FGS to negotiate with factions of the group. A more likely scenario, however, would see the conflict remain a stalemate, with the government’s current offensive bringing only temporary or superficial gains that do not meaningfully degrade al-Shabaab’s capacity. Given the improbability of a decisive military victory in the coming months or even years, the previously taboo notion of negotiating with the terrorists has gained traction in certain Somali political circles of late. President Hassan Sheikh has even oscillated between claiming that the objective of the current offensive is al-Shabaab’s complete battlefield defeat and claiming that the offensive aims to push the group into negotiations. [ ] In principle there is no reason to prefer an endless and fitful counterinsurgency to negotiations, but in practice it would be difficult to secure anything like an acceptable compromise at this stage. Some Somali security sources with knowledge of the group suggested that while al-Shabaab might enter negotiations with international powers, such as the US and Turkey (likely with mediation by Qatar, whose role in Somalia has proven controversial), it has no interest in speaking to the Somali government, which it sees as illegitimate and weak. [ ] At present this looks to be the best-case scenario, though unfortunately not the most likely one. But policymakers would do well to consider scenarios that might be acceptable to their interests rather than buy into unrealistic claims about the impending defeat of Africa’s most powerful jihadist group. https://s3.amazonaws.com/media.hudson.org/Faltering+Lion+-+James+Barnett+Sep+2023.pdf
  5. Whenever you hear the empty heads shouting from rooftops with ill-guided diatribe, it means the triangle is on fire. We heard from Xammalat al Xadhab, and here are her minions.
  6. SSC-Khatumo is doing much better than expected, but there are definitely going to be challenges ahead, economical or otherwise. I did mention SSC generated 13m in revenues in the last 3 months. I bet you did not know Garacad is a primary source of revenue for SSC-Khatumo.
  7. With its main three States (Tigray, Amhara, and Oromo (less extent) ) on fire, and roadblocks popping up outside of Addis, how does Abiy plan to wriggle out of this inferno? I can not wait for the whole bloody thing to blow up in his spotty face.
  8. He does not have anything to give, and even if he wanted to he will be end up with more than a broken arm and a black eye. It is not that he is not serious, but he is out of his depth as to the geopolitical games being played over his head.
  9. Subsidised till SSC could take on the responsibility, as previously agreed upon during its provisional period, and SSC is getting there. He is specifically referring to security forces from PL regions, outside of SSC, still at the front.
  10. In the old days when Somali media used to be informative with heavyweights at its helm. M Xarbi's role discussed. Literature alone by the likes of Qarshe, Naaji etc is on a different level. (correction: I initially thought this was the BBC).
  11. So, victims even when they are the transgressors? Are they being serious? Instead of hiding their criminal enterprise, they are openly brandishing the picture of a murderer seeking revenge in foreign capitals? How come no one, other than Bixiye, speaks of or campaigns for the highest prized prisoner, the army intel chief, Gadhka Yogolka?
  12. I once had a conversation with the late abu Xadra (Hadraawi) about politics, democracy, and elections in SL, and he laughed and said: "we are a long, long way away from home".
  13. Faysal Roble is one of the few S Galbeed sons whose analyses I heed with respect to Habasha and its expansionist strategy.
  14. So, you are a bone fide Somali after all. Well done.
  15. What is your initial reaction when you read some news like this?
  16. This is not new, started a while ago, and UAE is more engaged with the FMSs.
  17. A complete disregard for good governance, Parliamentary procedures, if very shady, and shoddy practice. He has joined the secessionist camp long time ago, was recruited by the late Cali Marshal, and jumped ship when Riyaale was elected.
  18. Has the MoU been reviewed, deliberated or discussed by either Houses of SL Parliament? Has the FGS had a session to discuss implications of the MoU?
  19. Not only have Habashas deployed their militias to the Buhodle, Sool and Awdal border perimeter, but they also have been arming Bixiye with planes full of military hardware spotted (to be confirmed). More ganimah for Jamaahirta, I say.
  20. For that to matter, XX would have to have good moral standing to suffer from diarrhea, but it has been established he lacks in the department.
  21. For the public good, and best outcome, of course negotiate with both SL & AS, as was the advice the US/EU offered XSM in his first trip to the US before he initiated a war he knew he could neither win nor had the support, militarily, logistically, or financially. Let not the aesthetics of Xamar seduce you, as AS is very much present, in control of its vital organs, business or otherwise, laying low with their leaders still in the city, collecting dues at the airport, port, even government officials, and could easily disrupt taking over the city, but the question is: could they hang on to it. Recall how everyone thought Thaliban were dead and buried, yet it took them a week to take over Afghanistan. Same tactics and methods in play here.
  22. Very kind of you. You raised very good points of how best move forward, and I think under the right leadership, a viable solution is nearer than ever, and the more stable and capable FGS institutions get, the weaker the hand of SL, and eventually its bargaining chips shall have been diminished, which will make harmonisation much easier. Again, under the right leadership. Addendum: I am actually of the view of adopting the China-Hong Kong-Taiwan approach, where we let political configurations as it, till comes the time, where confidence and mutual public good had been had in all concerned parties in the Somali peninsula. No need for rushed or forced solutions, just let matters take their natural course. Things are rapidly changing for the better.
  23. No need for a war between Somalis / Muslims, besides the US bogus war on terror died with Bush Jr. Move the effing on from being camiiliin.